Real Potential Gross Domestic Product (GDPPOT)
Real Potential Gross Domestic Product — Historical Chart
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Real Potential Gross Domestic Product (FRED series GDPPOT) is a quarterly economic indicator measured in billions of chained 2017 dollars. The series is published through FRED, the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis economic database, with history going back to 1949.
Why it matters: Real Potential Gross Domestic Product is one of the indicators traders, economists, and policymakers watch within the economic complex. Analysts use it to track conditions in the US economy and to anticipate shifts in growth, inflation, and policy.
How to read it: focus on the direction and persistence of changes rather than any single quarterly print. Comparing the latest value against its level a year ago, and against its long-run range since 1949, gives a better sense of whether the series is signaling acceleration, deceleration, or a turning point.
About This Series
Real potential GDP is the CBO’s estimate of the output the economy would produce with a high rate of use of its capital and labor resources. The data is adjusted to remove the effects of inflation.
Recent Data
| Date | Value (Bil. of Chn. 2017 $) | Change |
|---|---|---|
| July 1, 2025 | 23,510.18 | +134.11 |
| April 1, 2025 | 23,376.07 | +132.85 |
| January 1, 2025 | 23,243.22 | +129.88 |
| October 1, 2024 | 23,113.34 | +132.02 |
| July 1, 2024 | 22,981.32 | +131.45 |
| April 1, 2024 | 22,849.87 | +131.74 |
| January 1, 2024 | 22,718.13 | +129.95 |
| October 1, 2023 | 22,588.18 | +128.44 |
| July 1, 2023 | 22,459.74 | +126.63 |
| April 1, 2023 | 22,333.11 | +124.87 |
| January 1, 2023 | 22,208.24 | +123.32 |
| October 1, 2022 | 22,084.93 | +123.39 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Real Potential Gross Domestic Product today?
The latest value of Real Potential Gross Domestic Product (GDPPOT) is shown at the top of this page, along with its observation date and the change from the prior reading. Data is sourced from FRED and refreshed regularly.
How often is Real Potential Gross Domestic Product updated?
Real Potential Gross Domestic Product is reported quarterly (Quarterly). New observations appear on FRED shortly after the source agency releases them, and this page updates daily.
What does a rising Real Potential Gross Domestic Product mean?
A sustained rise in Real Potential Gross Domestic Product signals strengthening readings in this economic measure, in billions of chained 2017 dollars. Whether that is positive or negative for markets depends on context — compare the move against the series’ trend and related indicators in the same category.
Where does the GDPPOT data come from?
The data comes from FRED® (Federal Reserve Economic Data), maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, under series ID GDPPOT. History is available back to 1949.
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- Real Gross Domestic Product1.6
- Real gross domestic product per capita70,502
- Average Hourly Earnings of Production and Nonsupervisory Employees, Total Private32.31
- Average Weekly Hours of All Employees, Total Private34.3
- Average Weekly Hours of Production and Nonsupervisory Employees, Manufacturing41.6
- Average Weekly Overtime Hours of Production and Nonsupervisory Employees, Manufacturing4
- Business Applications: Total for All NAICS in the United States523,971
- ICE BofA US Corporate Index Option-Adjusted Spread0.75
Data sourced from FRED®, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: Real Potential Gross Domestic Product (GDPPOT). Retrieved from fred.stlouisfed.org. Last updated February 27, 2026.